Steve Balmer was the speaker at a Microsoft breakfast I attended on Tuesday. An audience member asked if the next Bill Gates could come out of India or China, particularly given their culture of copying.
Personally, I felt this question reflected the usual lack of comprehension for the sheer amount of talent and skill coming out of these countries. Each year they are the world's leading producers of Bachelor degree trained people. Steve Balmer also pointed this out.
But, what he went on to say was more interesting. He believes that an Indian or Chinese person may well be the next Bill Gates, but that they will do it from inside the US. His three reasons were:
Unfortunately, this provides further evidence for my growing scepticism that Australia will not produce the next Bill Gates or Google. While we have the IP protection, legal system and talent our domestic market is just too small to support a sizable pool of early adopting customers and rapid growth. Our inherently conservative investment and customer market further decreases the presence of early stage customers.
As a result, Australian companies must start exporting before they are ready. Their products are still weak and the processes incomplete, which is brutal when you add distance into the equation. A local customer can be courted, worked on and built as a partnership to iron out the early adoption kinks.
While sceptical, I haven't yet descended into complete pessimism. But the odds are certainly stacked against an Australian Bill Gates or Google.
Email is the most important aspect of my personal IT infrastructure. It's also particularly hard to achieve since I've been spoilt with the Exchange, Outlook 2003 and Outlook Web Access setup at Synop. Here are my personal requirements for email:
I looked at a number of alternatives for providing this, including Gmail, paid email hosting and running my own server. All of them had limitations against the above criteria. In the end I've adopted a hybrid model that more than meets all the above criteria:
This setup is straight forward, except for the problem of having sent messages appear to come from you@yourdomain.com while still being automatically archived in Gmail. Mail sent through the Gmail SMTP server is automatically archived, but appears in the From header to have come from your Gmail account. Mail sent through your ISP SMTP server is not added to the Gmail sent mail archive. To resolve this problem, I decided to send email through the ISP SMTP server while configuring Outlook to automatically BCC all messages to my Gmail account. In both Gmail and Outlook I then setup a filter to label these received messages as sent items and archive them automatically. Now, all sent messages appear to come from you@yourdomain.com while a copy is permanently archived on the Gmail servers for later access.
For those that are interested, here is the basic setup:
Reading my negotiation textbook, I couldn't help but think of the guests on Jerry Springer:
Often, it is the mere presence of an audience that can make "saving face" of paramount importance for the negotiator. When a person's face is threatened in a negotiation, it can tip the balance of his or her behaviour away from cooperation toward competition, resulting in impasses and lose-lose outcomes.
Still, with episodes like "Daddy, will you marry me?" I guess lose-lose is inevitable.